Economic Pain Easing, Competition from Grocers Strong
Friday, April 30th, 2010 | Rodger MullenRestaurant Leadership Offers 2010 Outlook
At the end of April, I attended Restaurant Leadership-a national gathering of industry, business and community visionaries. The mood was upbeat as we heard businesses express their optimism for a profitable year. The consensus is that the restaurant industry is hacking its way out of the thick weeds of the recession, and starting to find room to grow again.
While it was exciting to debate industry trends (this year the role of social media was a hot topic and one I will cover in a future blog entry soon), the real issue of the event and of this year is the tough competition restaurants have from supermarkets and retail giants like Target and Wal-Mart. With grocers and retailers selling prepackaged meals at very low costs (often much lower than the cost of eating out), restaurants face ongoing price pressure despite improvements in the economy.
At the end of 2009, CREST (Consumer Reports on Eating Share Trends) reported that supermarkets prices had fallen from the year prior while restaurant prices were higher. Wallet conscious consumers have been cooking and eating at home more often and the question is how do restaurants lure them out again? The odds are high that penny pinching will continue among consumers. Americans are saving more than twice the amount they were two years ago according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter of 2007, 1.5% of earnings was going toward savings in American households. By the fourth quarter of 2009, the number had risen to 3.9%.
Rather than waiting for a shift in consumer habits-good habits like saving more-restaurants will need to compete head-to-head with supermarkets and their low-cost, prepackaged foods. That means price is king and efficiency is a must. Restaurant chains will need to squeeze every bit of efficiency out of their supply chains in order to keep prices competitive and attractive to cost conscious consumers. Even grocery and giant retail competitors are loudly talking to the market about supply chain efficiency. Think of Wal-mart’s current TV ads, which speak to making the most of their truckloads in order to deliver lower prices to their customers. The supply chain is your most direct route to greater efficiency and the world’s largest retailer knows it.
Restaurants too must invest in supply chain solutions that provide greater visibility and the detailed knowledge needed to better manage their pricing, spending, logistics and promotions. Only with end-to-end and trading partner-to-trading partner supply chain insight can restaurant chains truly compete in terms of price with grocers and super stores today. And in this brightening economy, restaurant leaders nationwide agree: It’s a good time to get out there and compete.
